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Thursday, September 3, 2026
Don’t look now, but sentiment is growing within the Republican ranks that Pete Hegseth is NOT the right guy to run the Pentagon. Outgoing senator Thom Tillis might be an OG member of the YOLO caucus, and Rep. Don Bacon is well known for his iconoclast nature. Tillis, who voted to confirm Hegseth, posted a statement calling for a new leader at the Pentagon: "I have never witnessed more inept management of the brave men and women who serve our country." Bacon said of Hegseth on CNN, Hegseth “would not be on my team.” The very same evening, vulnerable Republicans seated on the paved-over Rose Garden lawn, Trump showed support to his embattled Secretary of War. "Right, Pete?” he said, adding “You did a good job last night in Iran, by the way." Is this just standard intraparty fighting, or a sign of a growing split among Congressional Republicans facing catastrophic polling numbers with the midterms just two months away? And rest in peace, Gloria Steinem. I grew up in a household that subscribed to Ms. magazine and am a much better man for it.
01: The Republican Split Over Hegseth Stops Being Private, and Trump Picks His Side in the Rose Garden.
[Going Mainstream]. What’s changed: Yesterday this story was fading, getting only two mentions across three morning hours. Today three Republicans went on the record against the Secretary of Defense, and the president defended him by name the same evening.
Is there a growing divide within the Republican Party? If so, it’s managed to keep it quiet for months, but it was said out loud Wednesday by the people with the least incentive to say it. Outgoing Senator Thom Tillis wrote on Wednesday that he has “never witnessed more inept management of the brave men and women who serve our country,” that Hegseth “is intimidated by competence and retreats to ginning up culture wars,” and asked the president to “find a new leader at the Pentagon.” Yes, Tillis is leaving office after fighting with Donald Trump, but he voted to confirm Hegseth as Secretary of Defense/War.
Rep. Don Bacon, a retired Air Force brigadier general, told CNN he agreed with Tillis, saying, “He would not be on my team.” Rep. Carlos Gimenez recently said he was unhappy about the “rash of turnover” in Army leadership as reported by Breitbart. That’s three, which is the magic number.
But on the same day, President Trump stood in the Rose Garden before many vulnerable Republicans facing reelection in the coming midterms, and backed his embattled secretary. “Right, Pete? You did a good job last night in Iran, by the way. You knocked the hell out of him. We’re winning.”
Dan Driscoll’s last day as Army Secretary was Wednesday. CNN and MS NOW said Hegseth 94 times in primetime. In four hours of Fox News coverage, it was mentioned zero times.
TAKEAWAY: The Iran War is stuck in quagmire mode and, per Scott Bessent on Fox News, the reason for the high price of gas and the cost-of-living problems Trump promised to resolve on day one. The easiest path for the White House is to blame someone and move on from Hegseth. But Trump loves a telegenic and extremely loyal media fighter, and no one plays that role better than Hegseth.
02: GOP’s Midterm ‘Trump-a-Palooza’ Convention Looks to Have a No-Show Problem
[Gaining Traction]. What’s changed: Yesterday, “Toss-Up Texas” was the GOP’s headache, which led to a $15 million rescue buy to help Ken Paxton. Today it's the party's own innovative but potentially regrettable midterm convention, and a damning Politico report of who’s blowing it off.
The RNC is reportedly charging House members a fee that starts at $25,000 to attend the convention in Dallas, per AL.com. A photograph with the president runs $88,600, per the Wall Street Journal. Politico asked more than 70 Republican candidates and members whether they plan to go. 45 gave a reason not to. Dozens more would not say.
MS NOW’s Jen Psaki played the answers Wednesday night and noted that one member wanted to stay in his district, one had a son getting married in Greece, and one had high school football games he had promised not to miss.
Former New Hampshire Republican Governor Chris Sununu told CNN’s Kaitlan Collins how he is baffled that the party is charging its own people. Republican strategists told AL.com last week they fear the whole thing lands badly, one of them asking why they are doing it at all.
Karl Rove might have snarked it best when he asked, “What could go wrong with a rally a day and hundreds of millions of dollars in ads in battleground states featuring Mr. Trump? A lot.”
TAKEAWAY: It’s always darkest before dawn, but this feels like a certified looming disaster, particularly given the scheduling conflict with the first two NFL games. But if Trump is an expert at anything, it’s putting on a show. And while ratings will probably not be great due to America’s proclivity to watch pro football, it’s a smart bet that this event will throw off a plethora of irresistible viral clips that the current political media ecosystem will jump all over.
03: Tucker Carlson Hands Abdul El-Sayed the Endorsement His Own Party Seems Uncomfortable About
[ Emerging]. What Changed: Earlier this week, Michigan’s Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed was cast as a national security problem by a CBS News headline and a House Democrat. Yesterday, the most influential populist voice on the right called his agenda “literally Trumpian.”
Tucker Carlson all but endorsed El-Sayed during a recent video posted on X, praising the candidate’s Trumpian agenda. This candidate was recently blasted by the New York Post editorial board, which says Democrats are “selling their souls” by accepting. This quasi-endorsement is a big story, but it's even bigger because it came from the wrong direction.
Leading members of El-Sayed’s own party spent the day backing away from his candidacy. Rep. Brad Sherman said El-Sayed is not “my first choice.” Tom Suozzi dismissed DSA candidates (which El-Sayed insists he is not) as owning the DSA platform. James Carville called El-Sayed's campaign buddy, Hasan Piker, an “idiot” and told the DSA to drop “Democratic” from its name.
This establishment pushback is likely viewed as good news by El-Sayed, as Vice President JD Vance’s mother, Beverly Vance Aikins, said she would “probably punch” him. A recent Michigan State poll has him up 50-45 over Mike Rogers. Across six hours of morning television Thursday, Carlson’s name was said zero times, and El-Sayed’s was mentioned only once.
TAKEAWAY: Tucker Carlson’s audience is anti-war and anti-establishment, and so too is El-Sayed. Some may also note that they each share a strong, and potentially uncomfortable, anti-Israel bond. This horseshoe-theory fit is better than the one he has with his own caucus.
Next week the GOP will hold its first-ever “midterm convention” on September 9th and 10th, and according to multiple reports it’s not going over terribly well with the Republican rank and file for a number of reasons. Few prominent Republicans have gone on record dismissing the idea until former NH Governor Chris Sununu blasted it to Kaitlan Collins on CNN Wednesday night. At issue is the $25K fee that members of Congress are expected to pay to attend. When asked if he thought this was “normal,” Sununu replied, “I’ve never heard of anything like that myself,” before eventually mocking Trump. “He’s supposed to be raising money for the candidates.” Oh, and the two prime-time speeches on the 9th and 10th will compete with the first two games of the new pro football season, but no one watches the NFL, right?
The data tells the real, better stories beneath the headlines.
House Democratic Leaders Move to Punish Members Who Voted with Republicans. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries was caught off guard by Jared Golden and Marie Gluesenkamp Perez voting to pass a Republican rule Tuesday. House Democrats are floating committee removals, and a proposal to give leadership more tools to enforce discipline. It will likely go nowhere, but all is not cozy on the left side of the House aisle. (Axios)
Diesel Futures Closed at an All-Time High Wednesday. NY Harbor ultra-low-sulfur diesel finished at $4.7294 a gallon, Brent crude traded at $95 against the low $80s a month ago, and the 10-year Treasury yield sat near 4.8 percent after touching a three-year high. (Yahoo Finance)
Steve Witkoff met the UAE’s National Security Adviser Last Weekend About Iran. The White House did not announce news of the Trump advisor meeting with Sheik Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan in Sardinia, and it wasn’t reported until Thursday morning. The UAE is the key partner in the operation to guide tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. (Axios)
Based on transcripts from the 6 and 7 a.m. hours of Fox & Friends, CNN This Morning, News Central, and Morning Joe.
Two men were shot and killed at a gay bar in Tucson, which Arizona police confirmed Tuesday was a hate crime. The shooter reportedly left a note in which he listed other LGBTQ businesses. The AP, Los Angeles Times, HuffPost, and multiple other outlets covered it, but looking at eleven hours of cable primetime Wednesday, Fox News, CNN, and MS NOW said “Tucson” zero times. A confirmed hate crime with a target list should be a big story, and had the victims been a different, say, political or religious identity, I’d imagine it would get national coverage.
I’m loathe to criticize innovative thinking, and at first blush, I thought a “Midterm Convention” was at the very least a novel idea designed to bring out support for the Republican platform, and its location should, in theory, help Ken Paxton’s struggling Senate campaign. But that was before the apparent schism between Trump and Congressional Republicans started to widen, and it now feels like the making of a political clusterfuck of Biblical proportions. The idea that a Trump-centric prime-time evening would help is massively undermined by a recent approval rating in the low 30s. Republican attendees are already deriding the event privately, reportedly snarking on it as a “Trump-a-palooza” (which is not a very popular palooza at the moment). But competing with NFL Football games on each night is a massive scheduling mistake (an own goal in the other football’s parlance), and a week from now we can expect a torrent of articles mocking very poor ratings of the GOP convention because, honestly? In America. nothing fucks with football viewing. In other words, this narrative has everything in it to go from bad to much worse in the next week.
The Morning Frame tracks which political stories are spreading, which are stalling, and how you can tell the difference. Powered by Narrative Prism. Narrative status is determined by source velocity, validator movement, and cross-ecosystem pickup across Narrative Prism’s 151-source universe. Prism’s four ecosystems are left, right, legacy, and mainstream.


















